Player Rater GW8 Update

Sorry for this being a late post, but here's the updated graphic which includes GW8 stats:

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New Graphic - Expected Points

I also wanted to introduce a new graphic which shows expected points for the season so far. It only considers FPL points that are gained from goals and assists and the subsequent bonus points award for these. So things like appearances, clean sheets and bookings aren't considered at all. The calculation for expected points is:

Expected Points=(Points for Assists)*(Expected Assists)+(Points for Goal)*(Expected Goals).

Where players get 3 points for an assist, plus some bonus points, and 4,5 or 6 points for a goal (depending on position) plus bonus points. The estimates for bonus points awarded are taken from this article. Again, the values are adjusted for minutes played.

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This graphic can now be found under the Player Rater tab along with the above graphic.

Comments Using the Player Rater Expected Points Model

Upfront there's an elite of 3 players I'd target: Suarez, Aguero and Benteke. Giroud, Sturridge, Lukaku, Rooney, Remy and Lambert fall in the next band and are also excellent choices. Bony and Eto'o would be in that category too if only their minutes were secure. RVP is ranked just 13th for strikers and I can't see him being worth his price tag.

In midfield there's an odd bunch, but Ozil dominates here, with Hazard, Michu and Silva also showing good production. Using the Goals and Assists visual above we see Ozil and Silva dominating in expected assists, they really are a class above. Mirallas, Ramsey and surpisingly Eriksen seem good mid-price options if you feel their places are secure. Amalfitano looks best of the budget bracket, though Januzaj's stats are worth paying attention to.

The highest rated defender is Kolorov, but his place is always in question. The highest rated and secure defender is Coleman, who ranks only just behind Barkley, showing how attacking he really is. Coleman's a great pick and hopefully a season keeper despite giving 4 points over 4 weeks. Ivanovic and Glen Johnson offer good attacking threat and are worth their price tags, while Swansea have a number of defenders worth considering.

Blog Notes

I hate to say I called it, but Townsend delivered on his stats this week with a deserved goal for Tottenham, with a rest midweek expect another start and more points.

I'm also working on a Team Rater which should show which teams are most attacking and most likely to keep clean sheets. These will be coming soon.